SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Niger had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.11%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Niger |
72.56% ( 0.02) | 19.39% ( -0.01) | 8.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 31.95% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.91% ( 0.01) | 57.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.03% ( 0.01) | 77.96% ( -0.01) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.44% ( 0.01) | 14.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.4% ( 0.02) | 42.6% ( -0.01) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.01) | 62.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.07% ( -0) | 91.93% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Niger |
| 1-0 @ 17.56% 2-0 @ 16.92% 3-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 72.55% | 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0) 1-1 @ 8.22% ( -0)2-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.39% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 8.06% |
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