SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Niger had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Zambia |
21.61% ( -0.16) | 28.13% ( -0.02) | 50.26% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 40.03% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.74% ( -0.04) | 64.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.63% ( -0.03) | 83.37% ( 0.03) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.07% ( -0.19) | 45.93% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.34% ( -0.15) | 81.66% ( 0.15) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.07) | 25.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39% ( 0.09) | 61% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 21.61% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 16.08% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 8.43% 0-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 50.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 19 |
| 12 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Everton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 41 | -30 | 5 |
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