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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
ZN

Niger
2 - 1
Zambia

Moutari (6'), Goumey (28')
Moumouni (37'), Massoudi (39'), Djibrilla (74'), Moutari (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Daka (50')
Sakala (55'), Sunzu (67'), Banda (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Tanzania
Saturday, November 18 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Ghana347
2Mali304
3Congo DR303
4Niger3-41
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 4-2 Congo
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Niger 0-2 Zambia

Niger did not disgrace themselves against Tanzania last time out, but another home clash against an in-form Zambia side will be a much sterner test. The Copper Bullets look as if they could cause the majority of nations problems in CAF with the strike partnership of Daka and Sakala, meaning we expect the visitors to take maximum points on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Niger had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
NigerDrawZambia
21.61% (-0.157 -0.16) 28.13% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 50.26% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 40.03% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.74% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)64.26% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.63% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)83.37% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.07% (-0.194 -0.19)45.93% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.34% (-0.151 -0.15)81.66% (0.152 0.15)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (0.067000000000007 0.07)25.98% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (0.090000000000003 0.09)61% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Niger 21.61%
    Zambia 50.25%
    Draw 28.13%
NigerDrawZambia
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.61%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 16.08% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.83% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-3 @ 4.87% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 50.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Tanzania
Saturday, November 18 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Niger
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 3-0 Somalia
Saturday, October 14 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 0-2 Uganda
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 1-0 Niger
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Algeria
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 4-2 Congo
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Uganda
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Zambia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Zambia
Saturday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Zambia
Sunday, July 16 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 1-2 Zambia
Friday, July 14 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup


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