SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Galatasaray |
25.31% ( -0.97) | 24.24% ( 0.16) | 50.45% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( -1.47) | 47.29% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( -1.38) | 69.52% ( 1.38) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -1.56) | 32.87% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( -1.77) | 69.44% ( 1.77) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.25) | 18.77% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( -0.41) | 50.17% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.31% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.45% |
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