SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Kasimpasa |
46.18% ( -0.11) | 24.62% ( 0.01) | 29.2% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.79% ( 0.01) | 46.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( 0) | 68.5% ( -0.01) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( -0.04) | 20.09% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.66% ( -0.07) | 52.33% ( 0.07) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.07) | 29.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( 0.08) | 65.31% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.2% |
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