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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Medical Park Stadyumu
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Trabzonspor
1 - 5
Galatasaray

Destan (79')
Baniya (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaha (13', 61'), Ayhan (64'), Akturkoglu (80', 90+6')
Torreira (51'), Bardakci (66'), Nelsson (72'), Yilmaz (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-1 Trabzonspor
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Trabzonspor 1-1 Galatasaray

With both teams missing some key players due to international duty and injuries, neither side are likely to be at their best on Sunday. However, we still expect to see an entertaining encounter play out, with Trabzonspor proving themselves to be the best of the rest so far this season. As such, we can envisage them avoiding defeat against the reigning champions, who have struggled to an extent on the road in recent weeks. They are missing Icardi's predatory instincts in attack and this could see them cede further ground to Fenerbahce at the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
TrabzonsporDrawGalatasaray
40.62% (-0.469 -0.47) 24.44% (0.084 0.08) 34.94% (0.392 0.39)
Both teams to score 59.55% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.76% (-0.306 -0.31)43.24% (0.314 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.36% (-0.304 -0.3)65.64% (0.312 0.31)
Trabzonspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)21.36% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (-0.547 -0.55)54.33% (0.553 0.55)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (0.079000000000008 0.08)24.28% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (0.108 0.11)58.65% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Trabzonspor 40.62%
    Galatasaray 34.94%
    Draw 24.43%
TrabzonsporDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-1 Trabzonspor
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-1 Samsunspor
Thursday, January 11 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-1 Trabzonspor
Saturday, January 6 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-1 Istanbul
Saturday, December 23 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-3 Trabzonspor
Tuesday, December 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-3 Trabzonspor
Sunday, December 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Kayserispor
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, January 11 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-0 Konyaspor
Sunday, January 7 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-0 Galatasaray
Sunday, December 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League


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