SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Montrose |
45.53% ( 0.03) | 26.85% ( 0.01) | 27.62% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( -0.07) | 56.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( -0.05) | 77.17% ( 0.06) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( -0.02) | 24.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( -0.02) | 59.06% ( 0.02) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( -0.07) | 35.71% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% ( -0.07) | 72.48% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.62% |
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