SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen of the South |
44.29% ( -0.06) | 26.82% ( -0.05) | 28.89% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% ( 0.25) | 55.38% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( 0.2) | 76.58% ( -0.2) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.08) | 24.86% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.53% ( 0.11) | 59.47% ( -0.11) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( 0.22) | 34.32% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.98% ( 0.24) | 71.02% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.89% |
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