SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
43.72% ( -0.05) | 24.54% ( -0.01) | 31.74% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( 0.06) | 44.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( 0.06) | 67% ( -0.06) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( 0) | 20.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( 0.01) | 53.02% ( -0.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( 0.06) | 26.85% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( 0.09) | 62.16% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.74% |
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