SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Montrose |
35.39% ( 0.1) | 25.15% ( 0.01) | 39.45% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( -0.01) | 46.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% ( -0.01) | 68.77% ( 0.01) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( 0.05) | 25.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( 0.07) | 60.41% ( -0.07) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( -0.06) | 23.35% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% ( -0.09) | 57.32% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.45% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
