Despite so many players unavailable for Les Monegasques, we still believe this team have enough quality to overcome that on Sunday, and they will take a lot of encouragement from their draw with Marseille, which surely felt like a win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
