SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Le Havre |
33.09% ( 0.17) | 26.29% ( 0.02) | 40.62% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.17% ( -0.03) | 51.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.41% ( -0.02) | 73.59% ( 0.02) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( 0.1) | 29.52% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( 0.12) | 65.54% ( -0.13) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( -0.11) | 25.14% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( -0.16) | 59.85% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.61% |
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