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Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Gaston Petit
LH

Chateauroux
0 - 1
Le Havre


Mille (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ngoura (45+1')
Youte Kinkoue (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Les Herbiers 2-2 Chateauroux (3-3 pen.)
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Lyon
Sunday, January 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Chateauroux 1-2 Le Havre

Both Chateauroux and Le Havre have been in free-scoring mode of late, and it is hard to see either of them coming away with a clean sheet. That said, we are backing the away side to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 46.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Le Havre in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Le Havre.

Result
ChateaurouxDrawLe Havre
26.73% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 27.16% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 46.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.01% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)57.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.020000000000003 0.02)78.46% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Chateauroux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.018999999999991 0.02)25.01% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.67% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chateauroux 26.73%
    Le Havre 46.1%
    Draw 27.16%
ChateaurouxDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 26.73%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 12.93%
0-2 @ 8.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Les Herbiers 2-2 Chateauroux (3-3 pen.)
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Chateauroux 1-3 PSG
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Chateauroux 0-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 15 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Guingamp 2-0 Chateauroux
Saturday, May 8 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Chateauroux 1-2 Troyes
Saturday, May 1 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Chateauroux
Monday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Lyon
Sunday, January 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 2-1 Caen
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Le Havre
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 PSG
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1


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