SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ashdod | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
32.32% ( -0.47) | 27.55% ( 0.08) | 40.14% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 48.64% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( -0.37) | 56.96% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.13% ( -0.3) | 77.87% ( 0.3) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( -0.51) | 32.65% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( -0.58) | 69.19% ( 0.58) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( 0.04) | 27.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( 0.05) | 63.36% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ashdod | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.31% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.13% |
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