SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Milsami had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Milsami win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Astana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | Milsami |
61.3% ( 0) | 22.07% ( 0.02) | 16.63% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( -0.09) | 48.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( -0.08) | 70.95% ( 0.08) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( -0.03) | 15.45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.7% ( -0.05) | 44.3% ( 0.05) |
| Milsami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.08) | 42.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.04% ( -0.07) | 78.96% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Astana | Draw | Milsami |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.15% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.06% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 16.63% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
