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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 28, 2024 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
0 - 1
Guadalajara


Lozano (27'), Marquez (33'), Fulgencio (80'), Zapata (85'), Caicedo (86'), Caicedo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarado (74')
Castillo (2'), Cowell (83'), Orozco (86')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Atlas
Monday, April 22 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
39.9% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03) 25.9% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 34.2% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.275 0.27)49.95% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.245 0.24)71.94% (-0.236 -0.24)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (0.111 0.11)24.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (0.151 0.15)59.2% (-0.143 -0.14)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.193 0.19)27.9% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.243 0.24)63.52% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 39.9%
    CD Guadalajara 34.2%
    Draw 25.89%
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Atlas
Monday, April 22 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Monday, April 15 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Queretaro
Monday, April 1 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-2 Monterrey
Sunday, March 17 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Atlas
Saturday, March 9 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Queretaro
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Puebla
Sunday, April 7 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 America
Sunday, March 17 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-3 Guadalajara
Thursday, March 14 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League


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