Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Puebla
55.49% ( 2.02)	23.45% ( 0.03)	21.06% ( -2.07)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-2.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.74% (

-2.48)

48.25% (

2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.59% (

-2.31)

70.4% (

2.3)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

-0.17)

17.23% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.46% (

-0.3)

47.53% (

0.29)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.73% (

-3.35)

37.26% (

3.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

-3.45)

74.05% (

3.44)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 55.49%

Puebla 21.06%

Draw 23.44%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Puebla
1-0 @ 11.29% ( 1.06) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.75% Total : 55.49%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.66% Total : 21.06%