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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 7, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
3 - 2
Puebla

Hernandez (34'), Gutierrez (57'), Alvarado (59')
Cisneros (90+2'), Mozo (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
de Buen (89'), Herrera Rodriguez (90+3')
Barragan (81'), Angulo (90')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Tigres
Saturday, March 30 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawPuebla
55.49% (2.022 2.02) 23.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 21.06% (-2.065 -2.07)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-2.879 -2.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (-2.476 -2.48)48.25% (2.466 2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (-2.307 -2.31)70.4% (2.298 2.3)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (-0.173 -0.17)17.23% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (-0.299 -0.3)47.53% (0.288 0.29)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-3.347 -3.35)37.26% (3.336 3.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-3.454 -3.45)74.05% (3.444 3.44)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 55.49%
    Puebla 21.06%
    Draw 23.44%
CD GuadalajaraDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 11.29% (1.06 1.06)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.877 0.88)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.485 0.49)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.281 -0.28)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.2 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 55.49%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.451 -0.45)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.079 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.48 -0.48)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.345 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.313 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 21.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Monterrey 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 America
Sunday, March 17 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-3 Guadalajara
Thursday, March 14 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-2 Club Leon
Saturday, March 9 at 11.05pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-3 America
Thursday, March 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 3 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Tigres
Saturday, March 30 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 4-3 Puebla
Sunday, March 24 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Puebla
Sunday, March 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Atlas
Saturday, March 9 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 4-0 Puebla
Saturday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-2 Queretaro
Saturday, February 24 at 1am in Liga MX


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