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Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
0 - 1
Guadalajara


Almada (21'), Sanchez (29'), Berlanga (36')
Almada (0')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berlanga (42' og.)
Sepulveda (20'), Perez (45'), Alvarado (50'), Beltran (73'), Sepulveda (80'), Rangel (86')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Herediano
Thursday, April 11 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Puebla
Sunday, April 7 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawCD Guadalajara
51.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.39% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 25.21% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 57.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (0.058999999999997 0.06)43.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (0.057000000000002 0.06)66.05% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (0.027999999999992 0.03)17.04% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (0.043999999999997 0.04)47.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.035000000000011 0.04)31% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67.31% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 51.4%
    CD Guadalajara 25.21%
    Draw 23.39%
PachucaDrawCD Guadalajara
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 25.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Herediano
Thursday, April 11 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Tigres 0-3 Pachuca
Sunday, April 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Herediano 0-5 Pachuca
Thursday, April 4 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Pachuca 2-3 Toluca
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-1 Pachuca
Monday, March 18 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 6-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Puebla
Sunday, April 7 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 America
Sunday, March 17 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-3 Guadalajara
Thursday, March 14 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-2 Club Leon
Saturday, March 9 at 11.05pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-3 America
Thursday, March 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League


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