Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.