Given the managerial change in Goias, the home side are due a turnaround sooner rather than later, and they seek that against a team that had a wretched sequence of road results before that win at Internacional. Both clubs should cancel out the other in a 1-1 draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.69) 
0.23) 
