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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
ML

Atletico
1 - 0
Mallorca

Griezmann (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca

Mallorca are capable of making this a tricky match, with the visitors drawing half of their league games this season. Atletico are so strong at home, though, and we are expecting them to record their 10th league victory of the campaign this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
71.27% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 17.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)42.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)64.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)47.24% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.33% (-0.058 -0.06)82.67% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 71.26%
    Mallorca 10.98%
    Draw 17.75%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.28% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 71.26%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.75%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 10.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Villarreal
Sunday, November 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 6-0 Celtic
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-1 Atletico
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celtic 2-2 Atletico
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-3 Atletico
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Boiro 0-4 Mallorca
Wednesday, November 1 at 5.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Mallorca
Saturday, September 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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