Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
43.36% ( -0.12) | 26.99% ( -0) | 29.65% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.25% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.29% ( 0.07) | 55.71% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.15% ( 0.06) | 76.85% ( -0.06) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% ( -0.03) | 25.48% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.68% ( -0.04) | 60.32% ( 0.05) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( 0.14) | 33.92% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% ( 0.15) | 70.59% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.65% |
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