Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
51.76% ( -1.07) | 27.22% ( 0.39) | 21.02% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 41.52% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.03% ( -0.63) | 61.97% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.28% ( -0.47) | 81.71% ( 0.47) |
Atletico Tucuman Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% ( -0.75) | 24.24% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.41% ( -1.08) | 58.59% ( 1.08) |
Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.8% ( 0.37) | 45.2% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.91% ( 0.29) | 81.09% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
1-0 @ 15.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.23% Total : 51.75% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.02% |
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