SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
46.75% ( 0.02) | 30.07% ( 0.14) | 23.17% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 37.22% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.39% ( -0.46) | 68.61% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.66% ( -0.31) | 86.34% ( 0.31) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.23) | 29.87% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( -0.27) | 65.96% ( 0.27) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.08% ( -0.45) | 46.92% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.58% ( -0.34) | 82.42% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 16.93% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.24% Total : 46.75% | 0-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.32% Total : 30.07% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.17% |
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