SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 35.29%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.03%) and 2-1 (6.66%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
35.29% ( -0.14) | 31.48% ( 0.47) | 33.23% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 38.39% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.54% ( -1.3) | 69.46% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.11% ( -0.85) | 86.89% ( 0.86) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% ( -0.83) | 37.3% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.92% ( -0.83) | 74.08% ( 0.84) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% ( -0.98) | 38.77% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.49% ( -0.94) | 75.51% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.79% Total : 35.29% | 0-0 @ 14.46% ( 0.69) 1-1 @ 13.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.48% | 0-1 @ 13.7% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.57% Total : 33.23% |
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