SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | River Plate |
22.51% ( -2.32) | 25.54% ( 0.35) | 51.95% ( 1.97) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( -3.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( -3.33) | 54.93% ( 3.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( -2.83) | 76.21% ( 2.83) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( -4) | 39.6% ( 4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% ( -3.91) | 76.28% ( 3.92) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( -0.52) | 21.17% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.96% ( -0.81) | 54.04% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.6)2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.34)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.51% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 1.03)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.54)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 13.01% ( 1.42) 0-2 @ 10.1% ( 0.95)1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.32)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.94% |
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