SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
62.09% ( -0.21) | 23.02% ( 0.04) | 14.89% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.2% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% ( 0.14) | 55.36% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% ( 0.12) | 76.57% ( -0.12) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( -0.02) | 17.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.09% ( -0.04) | 47.91% ( 0.04) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.12% ( 0.34) | 48.89% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.13% ( 0.24) | 83.87% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 1-0 @ 14.89% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 13% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 62.09% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.5% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.89% |
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