Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 2-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
0) 
-0.39) 
