SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Ajax |
25.34% ( 0.01) | 21.66% ( 0.01) | 52.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% ( -0.05) | 35.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.54% ( -0.05) | 57.46% ( 0.05) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( -0.02) | 26.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.31% ( -0.02) | 61.68% ( 0.02) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( -0.03) | 13.56% ( 0.02) |
