After four straight wins, a fixture against a side battling relegation is ideal on paper for Augsburg, and even though their last defeat came against Mainz, who were in 17th at the time, they should have no such problems this time.
A 1-1 draw in the reverse saw Koln's three-game winning streak against Augsburg - where they scored 10 goals - come to an end, and a defeat is now on the cards for the Bundesliga strugglers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.09) 
