SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for USA Women in this match.
| Result | ||
| Australia Women | Draw | USA Women |
37.54% ( 3.6) | 23.96% ( -1.35) | 38.49% ( -2.25) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( 5.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( 6.78) | 40.67% ( -6.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( 6.61) | 63.05% ( -6.61) |
| Australia Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( 5.13) | 21.73% ( -5.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.09% ( 7.26) | 54.9% ( -7.26) |
| USA Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( 1.86) | 21.27% ( -1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% ( 2.81) | 54.19% ( -2.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Australia Women | Draw | USA Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -1.11)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.8)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.76)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.39)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.49)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.42)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.54% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -1.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.7)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -1.59)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.46)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -1.94)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -1.12)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.52)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.39)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.26)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.71% Total : 38.49% |
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