Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Australia Women win it was 1-0 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.27) 
