Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Australia Women win it was 1-0 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.

Result
Australia Women	Draw	England Women
20.14% ( 0.08)	22.21% ( -0.27)	57.64% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.85% (

1.29)

44.15% (

-1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.47% (

1.24)

66.53% (

-1.24)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.15% (

0.82)

35.85% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.37% (

0.83)

72.63% (

-0.83)

England Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95% (

0.5)

15.05% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.44% (

0.95)

43.56% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Australia Women 20.14%

England Women 57.63%

Draw 22.21%

Australia Women	Draw	England Women
1-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.14%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.63%