Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 82.04%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 5.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.95%) and 1-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.
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