There have been signs in the group stage that the USA's dominance at the Women's World Cup could be coming to an end, and we think that they the record winners will be eliminated by a Sweden side that have been in fine form at the tournament, having won all three of their matches, scoring nine goals and only conceding on just one occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest USA Women win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	USA Women
48.09% ( 0.41)	25.25% ( 0.36)	26.66% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 52.56% (

-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

-1.99)

50.46% (

1.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6% (

-1.79)

72.39% (

1.79)

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99% (

-0.63)

21% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.21% (

-0.99)

53.78% (

0.99)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

-1.65)

33.46% (

1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

-1.85)

70.09% (

1.85)

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 48.08%

USA Women 26.66%

Draw 25.24%

Sweden Women	Draw	USA Women
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.08%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.66%