Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Women win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 8.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.27%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.
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