SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan Women | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Spain Women | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica Women | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 4 | Zambia Women | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan Women | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Spain Women | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica Women | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 4 | Zambia Women | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 96.86%. A draw had a probability of 2.4% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 0.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 5-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.26%) and 6-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.04%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 1-2 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Spain Women in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain Women | Draw | Zambia Women |
96.86% ( 0.47) | 2.36% ( -0.3) | 0.78% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 41.02% ( -2.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 91.48% ( 0.22) | 8.52% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 80.42% ( 0.41) | 19.58% ( -0.4) |
| Spain Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 99.34% ( 0.06) | 0.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 96.02% ( 0.27) | 3.98% ( -0.27) |
| Zambia Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.29% ( -2.46) | 58.71% ( 2.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.02% ( -1.37) | 89.98% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain Women | Draw | Zambia Women |
| 5-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.43) 4-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.28)6-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.5)3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.09)7-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.45)5-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.3)8-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.34)7-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.22)9-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.22)8-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.2)6-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.18)9-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)10-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.13)Other @ 5.04% Total : 96.85% | 1-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.33% Total : 2.36% | Other @ 0.78% Total : 0.78% |
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