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J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 3
Machida Zelvia

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fujimoto (51'), Tashiro (56' og.), Na (68')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, September 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-2 Urawa
Saturday, August 31 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawMachida Zelvia
21.52% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 28.1% (-0.055 -0.05) 50.39% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 40.02% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.78% (0.143 0.14)64.22% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.66% (0.103 0.1)83.34% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54% (0.056999999999995 0.06)46% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.28% (0.044 0.04)81.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (0.10599999999999 0.11)25.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11% (0.143 0.14)60.89% (-0.14 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 21.52%
    Machida Zelvia 50.38%
    Draw 28.09%
Avispa FukuokaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.85% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.52%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 16.09% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.9% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 50.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, September 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 24 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 24 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 17 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 10 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 10 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-2 Urawa
Saturday, August 31 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 4-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, August 17 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, August 11 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-2 Reims
Wednesday, July 31 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3


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