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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park

Ayr
3 - 2
Buckie Thistle

Henderson (30', 43'), Hastie (67')
Henderson (29')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Peters (45'), McLeod (57')
Peters (34')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Ayr United and Buckie Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-4 Ayr
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 2-5 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, July 23 at 8pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Airdrieonians0nan
2Ayr0nan
3Dunfermline0nan
4Falkirk0nan
5Morton0nan
6Hamilton0nan
7Livingston0nan
8Partick0nan
9Queen's Park0nan
10Raith Rovers0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Buckie Thistle win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawBuckie Thistle
66.84% (0.351 0.35) 18.16% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 15% (-0.314 -0.31)
Both teams to score 58.19% (-0.704 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.72% (-0.524 -0.52)34.27% (0.525 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.82% (-0.596 -0.6)56.17% (0.595 0.59)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)9.49% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.15% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)31.84% (0.145 0.15)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29% (-0.732 -0.73)35.71% (0.732 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52% (-0.762 -0.76)72.48% (0.76300000000001 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 66.84%
    Buckie Thistle 15%
    Draw 18.16%
Ayr UnitedDrawBuckie Thistle
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.202 0.2)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.193 0.19)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 4.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.34% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.028 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 66.84%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.16%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-1 @ 3.49% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-4 Ayr
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, July 20 at 5.15pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Celtic
Friday, July 5 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Ayr 3-3 Dunfermline
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 0-0 Ayr
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 2-5 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, July 23 at 8pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-5 Falkirk
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 4-0 Buckie Thistle
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Celtic 5-0 Buckie Thistle
Sunday, January 21 at 4pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dundee U21s 4-0 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 2 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-2 Linfield
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup


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