SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Ayr United |
32.01% ( 3.53) | 26.97% ( 0.34) | 41.02% ( -3.87) |
| Both teams to score 50.3% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% ( 0.04) | 54.82% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% ( 0.03) | 76.12% ( -0.03) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 2.6) | 31.76% ( -2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% ( 2.88) | 68.18% ( -2.88) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( -1.96) | 26.29% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% ( -2.69) | 61.42% ( 2.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.6)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.72)3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.66) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.9)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.62)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.02% |
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