SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dundee United |
24.84% ( -0.54) | 25.6% ( 0.27) | 49.55% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.8% ( -1.47) | 53.2% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% ( -1.26) | 74.76% ( 1.26) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% ( -1.27) | 36.47% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.74% ( -1.3) | 73.26% ( 1.31) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( -0.48) | 21.49% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.47% ( -0.74) | 54.53% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.55% |
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