SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
18.37% ( -0.11) | 21.5% ( 0.1) | 60.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.62) | 43.62% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( -0.61) | 66.01% ( 0.61) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.57% ( -0.49) | 37.43% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% ( -0.48) | 74.22% ( 0.49) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% ( -0.2) | 14.09% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.3% ( -0.39) | 41.7% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.37% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.12% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 60.12% |
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