SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a FC Santa Coloma win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Santa Coloma |
76.79% ( -1.09) | 14.31% ( 0.62) | 8.9% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.76% ( -1.53) | 32.24% ( 1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.16% ( -1.81) | 53.84% ( 1.81) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.12% ( -0.54) | 6.88% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.72% ( -1.46) | 25.28% ( 1.47) |
| FC Santa Coloma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.11) | 44.29% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.64% ( -0.09) | 80.36% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Santa Coloma |
| 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.16)6-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.13)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.63% Total : 76.79% | 1-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.25)Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.31% | 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 8.9% |
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