While Barcelona's record against Brazilian opponents is not the greatest, they are set to face an RB Bragantino side that are some way from their best at the moment.
The hosts will know that getting a positive result will be crucial here before heading to Sao Paulo next week, and we feel they will be able to keep the tie in the balance with a draw in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
1.19) 
-1.56) 
