Barnsley have netted three goals or more in six of their last seven games at Oakwell, while Shrewsbury's wretched road form has not produced near enough goals of late.
This seems a straightforward home win for the Tykes, with Duff's team expected to be superior to the visiting side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
0.8) 
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