Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.06) 
