Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.
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