SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martigues win with a probability of 36.24%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martigues win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Martigues | Draw | Bastia |
36.24% ( -0.4) | 27.82% ( 0.05) | 35.95% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.17) | 57.56% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( -0.14) | 78.34% ( 0.14) |
| Martigues Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.33) | 30.37% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( -0.4) | 66.56% ( 0.4) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( 0.14) | 30.55% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( 0.16) | 66.78% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Martigues | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 11% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.94% |
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