Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martigues win with a probability of 36.24%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Martigues win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Martigues	Draw	Bastia
36.24% ( -0.4)	27.82% ( 0.05)	35.95% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 48.36% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.44% (

-0.17)

57.56% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.66% (

-0.14)

78.34% (

0.14)

Martigues Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

-0.33)

30.37% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44% (

-0.4)

66.56% (

0.4)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

0.14)

30.55% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.22% (

0.16)

66.78% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Martigues 36.23%

Bastia 35.94%

Draw 27.82%

Martigues	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.23%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 11% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.94%