Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
BATE Borisov | Draw | Gomel |
49.72% ( 0.71) | 24.19% ( -0.22) | 26.09% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 55.46% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% ( 0.6) | 46.41% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.31% ( 0.56) | 68.69% ( -0.56) |
BATE Borisov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.28% ( 0.52) | 18.72% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.92% ( 0.86) | 50.08% ( -0.86) |
Gomel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.24% ( -0.06) | 31.76% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.81% ( -0.07) | 68.19% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
BATE Borisov | Draw | Gomel |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.29% Total : 49.72% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.09% |
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