SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Gomel win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Gomel |
56.33% ( 0.07) | 22.72% ( -0.03) | 20.95% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% ( 0.06) | 45.3% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% ( 0.05) | 67.64% ( -0.06) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% ( 0.04) | 15.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.88% ( 0.08) | 45.12% ( -0.08) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.3% ( -0.01) | 35.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.53% ( -0.01) | 72.47% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 56.33% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.95% |
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