SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 20 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Gomel | 19 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Neman | 19 | 4 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 19 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | BATE Borisov | 19 | 20 | 36 |
| 4 | Dinamo Minsk | 18 | 11 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for BATE Borisov in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | BATE Borisov |
31.68% ( 0.53) | 26.85% ( 0.45) | 41.47% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.52% ( -1.61) | 54.48% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% ( -1.36) | 75.84% ( 1.36) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( -0.45) | 31.82% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( -0.52) | 68.25% ( 0.53) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( -1.23) | 25.9% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% ( -1.69) | 60.89% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.68% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.47% |
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