Belgrano are more than capable of making this a tricky match for San Lorenzo, and the visitors will be wary of the quality of Vegetti in particular. San Lorenzo are a very difficult team to beat, though, and we are expecting the third-placed side to claim an important three points on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.76%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 2-1 (6.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.33%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
0.25) 
-0.34) 
